Supercomputers will achieve one human brain capacity by 2010, and personal computers will do so by about 2020.
By 2029, computers will have emotional intelligence and be convincing as people.
If you write a blog post, you've got something to say: you're not just creating words and synonyms. We'd like the computers to actually pick up on that semantic meaning.
By the time we get to the 2040s, we'll be able to multiply human intelligence a billionfold. That will be a profound change that's singular in nature. Computers are going to keep getting smaller and smaller. Ultimately, they will go inside our bodies and brains and make us healthier, make us smarter.
I'm working on artificial intelligence. Actually, natural language understanding, which is to get computers to understand the meaning of documents.
Death gives meaning to our lives. It gives importance and value to time. Time would become meaningless if there were too much of it.
Our intuition about the future is linear. But the reality of information technology is exponential, and that makes a profound difference. If I take 30 steps linearly, I get to 30. If I take 30 steps exponentially, I get to a billion.
Artificial intelligence will reach human levels by around 2029. Follow that out further to, say, 2045, we will have multiplied the intelligence, the human biological machine intelligence of our civilization a billion-fold.
All different forms of human expression, art, science, are going to become expanded, by expanding our intelligence.
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